10 Jul · 10:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1295
FormWLLWL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1526
FormLWWLW
26%
74%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 69% (29)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+231
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+231)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)