10 Jul · 10:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1356
FormLLLWL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1598
FormLLWWW
25%
75%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 79% (14)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~76 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+242
H2H25-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+242)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-7)