10 Jul · 12:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1600
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Skotniczny
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1599
FormWWWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H12-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.