10 Jul · 13:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1402
FormLWLWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1600
FormLLLLW
29%
71%
⚡ Cover lean · Gumulinski🌟Gumulinski covers set handicap as favourite 75% (20)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 67% · 1.50· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~74 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+198
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+198)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)