10 Jul · 18:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Marcin Marchlewski
ELO 1612
FormLLWLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Marchlewski
AW
🇵🇱Alan Wos
ELO 1503
FormWLLLL
62%
38%
🌟Marchlewski covers set handicap as favourite 63% (19)
Fair odds · Marchlewski
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H20-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-10)