10 Jul · 22:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1484
FormLWLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Adamus
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1333
FormLWWLW
66%
34%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 73% (51)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+151
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+151)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)