10 Jul · 20:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1457
FormLWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Baron
OS
🇵🇱Oskar Sokolowski
ELO 1387
FormLWLLL
58%
42%
🌟Baron goes over total as favourite 73% (37)
Fair odds · Baron
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+70
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)