10 Jul · 19:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1484
FormLWLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Adamus
OS
🇵🇱Oskar Sokolowski
ELO 1387
FormLWLLL
61%
39%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 73% (51)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+97
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)