10 Jul · 19:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AW
🇵🇱Alan Wos
ELO 1503
FormWLLLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Kuzmicz
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1758
FormWWWLW
24%
76%
Fair odds · Kuzmicz
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~73 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
27%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+255
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+255)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)