10 Jul · 22:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇵🇱Oskar Sokolowski
ELO 1387
FormLWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Vincenec
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1470
FormWLWWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Vincenec
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.74· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+83
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)