10 Jul · 18:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1739
FormWLWLW
90%Win chancemodel fair 1.11Oracz
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pyda
ELO 1251
FormWLLLW
90%
10%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 90% · 1.11vsMarket 91% · 1.10· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 76%Total ~70 pts
3-0
45%
3-1
31%
3-2
14%
2-3
5%
1-3
4%
Elo Gap+488
H2H44-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+488)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-2)