10 Jul · 18:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1604
FormWWLLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Skotniczny
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1408
FormLWWLL
70%
30%
🌟Juzek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (15)
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~74 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+196
H2H26-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+196)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-13)