11 Jul · 05:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JW
🇵🇱Jacek Wieczerzak
ELO 1414
FormLLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Wieczerzak
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1411
FormLLLLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Slosarczyk🌟Wieczerzak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (17)
Fair odds · Wieczerzak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.87· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.