11 Jul · 06:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1570
FormLWWLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Lach
JW
🇵🇱Jacek Wieczerzak
ELO 1414
FormLLWWL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Lach
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+156
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+156)