11 Jul · 04:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1576
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Marchlewski
MM
🇵🇱Marcin Marchlewski
ELO 1605
FormLLLWL
47%
53%
🌟Marchlewski covers set handicap as favourite 63% (19)
Fair odds · Marchlewski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+29
H2H7-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.