10 Jul · 21:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1740
FormWWLWL
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Oracz
MN
🇵🇱Michal Natkaniec
ELO 1414
FormLLLLL
81%
19%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 79% · 1.27· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~71 pts
3-0
40%
3-1
28%
3-2
12%
2-3
9%
1-3
7%
Elo Gap+326
H2H26-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+326)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-6)