10 Jul · 20:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1332
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Strus
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1353
FormWWWLW
48%
52%
🌟Gluszek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 31% (13)
Fair odds · Strus
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.57· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+21
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.