10 Jul · 20:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pyda
ELO 1247
FormLLWLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Wozniczka
MW
🇵🇱Marcin Wozniczka
ELO 1512
FormWWLWL
24%
76%
Fair odds · Wozniczka
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 79% · 1.27· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~74 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+265
H2H16-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+265)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-6)