10 Jul · 19:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1341
FormLWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Staniszewski
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1343
FormWLLWL
50%
50%
🌟Gluszek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 31% (13)
Fair odds · Staniszewski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 47% · 2.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H11-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.