10 Jul · 19:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pyda
ELO 1247
FormLLWLL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Pyrek
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1486
FormWLLWW
26%
74%
Fair odds · Pyrek
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~73 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+239
H2H7-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+239)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-3)