10 Jul · 22:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1337
FormWLLWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Baran
SB
🇵🇱Sebastian Baran
ELO 1543
FormWWLLW
29%
71%
🌟Gluszek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 31% (13)
Fair odds · Baran
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~76 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+206
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+206)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)