10 Jul · 22:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1412
FormWWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Wiza
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1351
FormWWWLL
57%
43%
🌟Ruszkiewicz goes over total as underdog 80% (15)
Fair odds · Wiza
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+61
H2H23-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-11)