Marcin Kowalczyk vs Piotr Strus — TT Elite Series

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10 Jul · 19:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk

ELO 1367

3-2Final setsKowalczyk won

🇵🇱Piotr Strus

ELO 1336

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 52%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Marcin Kowalczyk — profile →Piotr Strus — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Piotr Strus favoured — closing 1.8

Upset

Total 78.5

94 points played

Over

Set handicap

Piotr Strus −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Piotr Strus −0.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.05

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Kowalczyk is favoured to win, below means Piotr Strus.

▲ Marcin Kowalczykpre 56% → final 51%

Piotr Strus ▼

Biggest swing 62 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 26%72 points · 5 games