10 Jul · 22:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1356
FormLLLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Fira
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1252
FormLLLWW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Fira
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 57% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H35-34
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-34)