11 Jul · 00:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Marcin Wozniczka
ELO 1491
FormLLLWW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Oracz
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1746
FormWWWWW
24%
76%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~73 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
27%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+255
H2H20-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+255)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-13)