10 Jul · 23:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1245
FormLLLLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Orszulik
JO
🇵🇱Jan Orszulik
ELO 1428
FormWWLLW
31%
69%
Fair odds · Orszulik
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~81 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+183
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+183)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)