10 Jul · 23:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1333
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lukaszewski
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1347
FormLWLLW
48%
52%
🌟Gluszek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 31% (13)
Fair odds · Lukaszewski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.01· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H25-43
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.