11 Jul · 01:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1394
FormLLWWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Wiza
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1240
FormLLLLL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Wiza
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+154
H2H76-64
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+154)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (76-64)