11 Jul · 00:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1357
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Orszulik
JO
🇵🇱Jan Orszulik
ELO 1433
FormWWWLL
42%
58%
🌟Ruszkiewicz goes over total as underdog 80% (15)
Fair odds · Orszulik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+76
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)