11 Jul · 00:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MN
🇵🇱Michal Natkaniec
ELO 1420
FormLWLWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Natkaniec
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pyda
ELO 1243
FormLLWLL
69%
31%
Fair odds · Natkaniec
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~77 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+177
H2H13-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+177)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-5)