11 Jul · 00:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1352
FormLWWWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Baran
SB
🇵🇱Sebastian Baran
ELO 1551
FormWWWWL
29%
71%
Fair odds · Baran
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~74 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+199
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+199)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)