11 Jul · 01:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1345
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Staniszewski
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1355
FormWLLWW
49%
51%
🌟Gluszek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 31% (13)
Fair odds · Staniszewski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 43% · 2.30· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+10
H2H12-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.