11 Jul · 03:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MN
🇵🇱Michal Natkaniec
ELO 1421
FormLWLWL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Oracz
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1739
FormWWLWW
20%
80%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~73 pts
0-3
40%
1-3
28%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+318
H2H27-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+318)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-6)