11 Jul · 02:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pyda
ELO 1234
FormLLLLW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Wozniczka
MW
🇵🇱Marcin Wozniczka
ELO 1514
FormWWWLL
22%
78%
Fair odds · Wozniczka
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 80% · 1.25· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~75 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+280
H2H16-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+280)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-7)