11 Jul · 08:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JF
🇵🇱Jakub Folwarski
ELO 1942
FormWWWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Folwarski
MJ
🇵🇱Marcin Jadczyk
ELO 1825
FormWLLLW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Folwarski
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+117
H2H16-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-6)