11 Jul · 05:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DJ
🇵🇱Dawid Jedrysik
ELO 1377
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Adach
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1411
FormWLLLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Adach
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 1.99· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+34
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.