11 Jul · 05:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1269
FormWWWLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Orszulik
JO
🇵🇱Jan Orszulik
ELO 1426
FormWWLLW
33%
67%
Fair odds · Orszulik
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~74 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+157
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+157)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)