11 Jul · 05:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1362
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Wiza
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1376
FormLLLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Wiza
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H42-41
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.