11 Jul · 06:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1435
FormLWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Urban
DJ
🇵🇱Dawid Jedrysik
ELO 1377
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
🌟Urban goes over total as favourite 77% (13)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+58
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)