11 Jul · 06:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1368
FormLWWLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Piotrowski
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1495
FormLLLWW
36%
64%
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 77% · 1.29· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+127
H2H70-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (70-14)