11 Jul · 06:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1400
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Przewlocki
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1365
FormWLLWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 45% · 2.22· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+35
H2H5-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.