11 Jul · 08:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1361
FormWLLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Piotrowski
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1481
FormLLWLL
37%
63%
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 77% · 1.29· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
15%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+120
H2H71-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (71-14)