11 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1387
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Przewlocki
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1373
FormWWLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 45% · 2.22· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.