11 Jul · 08:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1434
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Adamus
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1413
FormLWWLL
52%
48%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 67% (12)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 67% · 1.50· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+21
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.