11 Jul · 08:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1380
FormLWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Minda
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1458
FormWWLLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Minda
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+78
H2H22-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-20)