11 Jul · 08:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇵🇱Patryk Gamrot
ELO 1465
FormLLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Morawiec
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1539
FormWLLWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Morawiec
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+74
H2H20-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-12)