11 Jul · 11:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
FW
🇵🇱Filip Witczak
ELO 1565
FormLLLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Witczak
PG
🇵🇱Patryk Gamrot
ELO 1470
FormWLLLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Witczak
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+95
H2H14-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-9)