11 Jul · 12:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1379
FormLLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Przewlocki
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1336
FormLLLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+43
H2H19-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-13)