11 Jul · 14:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Patryk Gamrot
ELO 1472
FormLWWLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Jedrzejak
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1632
FormLWLWW
33%
67%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+160
H2H10-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+160)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-7)