11 Jul · 14:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1485
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Minda
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1411
FormWLLWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Minda
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 45% · 2.22· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+74
H2H19-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)